The probability of the event "The US and Iran will cease fire before March 15" on Polymarket has decreased to 25%.

Odaily Planet Daily reports that Polymarket website data shows the probability of “the United States and Iran reaching a ceasefire before March 15” rose to 64%, then fell back to 25%, with trading volume exceeding $800,000.

Earlier, this morning, Trump stated that the operation against Iran is expected to last 4 to 5 weeks, but it could be longer.

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