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Six accounts on the #特朗普下令停用AnthropicAI产品 prediction platform Polymarket have bet on the U.S. taking action against Iran before February 28, earning approximately $1 million in profit. These accounts were all newly created in February and only placed bets on the potential U.S. strike timing. Some of these shares were purchased just a few hours before reports of explosions in Tehran, with some bought at prices as low as a dime per share.
This betting pattern has raised suspicions of insider trading. Blockchain analysts pointed out that similar patterns have appeared in other prediction market cases suspected of insider trading, such as a previous insider who made huge profits betting on the ousting of Venezuelan President Maduro in January.