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The moving average has been broken, is faith still there?
When 95% of altcoins fall below the long-term moving average, the market atmosphere is filled with two words: wake up.
What is the long-term moving average? Simply put, it’s the market’s “average mood.” When prices are above the moving average, everyone feels optimistic about the future; when it falls below, it indicates that the average cost is starting to float at a loss, and sentiment naturally declines.
The current question isn’t “whether it’s fallen,” but “why are so many falling at once.” The answer is often only one thing: liquidity contraction. Mainstream coins draining liquidity, funds seeking safety, and risk appetite decreasing all make altcoins the first to be affected.
Altcoins are characterized by rapid gains and even faster drops. When the market is good, they bloom like fireworks; when the market cools, it’s like everyone turns off the lights together. The fact that 95% have fallen below the moving average doesn’t mean they’re all zero; it’s telling you— the market is filtering.
Humorously speaking, today’s altcoin market is like a fitness test, with many participants gasping in the first lap. Only those who can stay will have a chance to perform in the next round.
For investors, rather than complaining about the moving average, it’s better to think: does this project have a sustainable narrative? Does it have real applications? Or is it just living on emotion?
Breaking the moving average isn’t scary; what’s scary is lacking logical support.
#深度创作营