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, but at market behavior and volume. Key zones to watch:
• $72,000 - $73,000: Strong previous support turned resistance. Holding above is a bullish signal.
• $68,000 - $70,000: Main demand zone and psychological level. Active buying by big players (accumulation on exchanges) here will be the main signal of a potential bottom.
• Below $68K scenario: Opens the path to $64K, but I consider it less likely without a black swan.
2️⃣ Main Drivers Now:
• Macro: Expectations for Fed rate hikes. Any inflation data or Fed statements cause sharp movements. The market overestimates the timing and depth of easing.
• Industry-specific: Outflows from ETF GBTC and overall nervousness before/after ATH. This is a healthy correction after a grand rally.
• Technical factor: Profit-taking after reaching a new ATH — classic behavior.
3️⃣ Dark Horses (tokens with relative stability/potential):
I look for projects with strong fundamental stories regardless of the overall trend:
• RWA sector (Real World Assets): ONDO, MKR. The theme is gaining momentum regardless of the cycle.
• AI sector: FET, AGIX, RNDR. Correcting, but the long-term agenda remains.
• DePIN sector: HNT, RENDER. Real utility and growing traffic.
• I keep a close eye on TON. Its dynamics often differ from the overall market.
My main advice now: Drop emotions, verify your investment theses. If you believe in the cycle, then dips are an opportunity, not a catastrophe. But always have a risk management plan.