Filecoin (FIL) Historical Price and Return Analysis: Should I Buy FIL Now?

Abstract

This article provides a comprehensive review of Filecoin’s historical price movements and market volatility since its inception, combining data from bull and bear market phases to assess the potential returns of purchasing 10 FIL tokens. It addresses the critical question: “Should I buy Filecoin now?” to help both novice and long-term investors identify optimal entry points and growth opportunities.

Early Market Cycles and Bull Market Origins: Historical Price Review (2017 to 2021)

Filecoin is a token built on the IPFS protocol, designed to incentivize miners who contribute idle hard drive storage capacity. The platform utilizes a novel proof-of-work algorithm where miners receive FIL rewards proportional to their storage contributions. According to market records, FIL’s early trading price started at approximately $15.00 in 2017.

Below is Filecoin’s price performance during the initial bull market phase:

2017

  • Opening Price: $15.00
  • Closing Price: $20.47
  • Highest Price: $24.60
  • Lowest Price: $10.14
  • Annual Return: 36.47%

2018

  • Opening Price: $26.42
  • Closing Price: $3.72
  • Highest Price: $26.56
  • Lowest Price: $3.10
  • Annual Return: -85.90%

2019

  • Opening Price: $3.51
  • Closing Price: $6.44
  • Highest Price: $10.04
  • Lowest Price: $3.51
  • Annual Return: 83.31%

2020

  • Opening Price: $6.71
  • Closing Price: $21.41
  • Highest Price: $38.54
  • Lowest Price: $5.39
  • Annual Return: 218.84%

2021

  • Opening Price: $23.42
  • Closing Price: $35.75
  • Highest Price: $182.86
  • Lowest Price: $22.24
  • Annual Return: 52.65%

An investor who purchased 10 FIL tokens during the early bull market phase would have experienced significant volatility, with potential cumulative returns reflecting the dramatic price swings across these years.

Bear Market Correction and Mid-Cycle Downturn: Risk and Return Analysis (2022 to 2023)

During this period, Filecoin experienced a severe bear market correction, with prices declining substantially from their 2021 peaks. The cryptocurrency market faced significant headwinds during this phase.

2022

  • Opening Price: $30.20
  • Closing Price: $3.11
  • Highest Price: $30.39
  • Lowest Price: $2.96
  • Annual Return: -89.71%

2023

  • Opening Price: $3.45
  • Closing Price: $6.92
  • Highest Price: $8.46
  • Lowest Price: $3.11
  • Annual Return: 100.66%

Potential returns for an investor purchasing 10 FIL tokens during this bear market period:

  • 2022: -291.26 USD (from 10 FIL purchased that year to present)
  • 2023: -23.73 USD (from 10 FIL purchased that year to present)

Recent Market Cycles: Should I Buy Filecoin Now? (2024 to 2026)

In recent years, Filecoin has continued to experience significant volatility, with investors debating whether the market has entered a new bull phase or remains in a prolonged bear market. Price movements have remained choppy with limited recovery.

2024

  • Opening Price: $5.62
  • Closing Price: $5.91
  • Highest Price: $10.68
  • Lowest Price: $3.34
  • Annual Return: 5.12%

2025

  • Opening Price: $5.09
  • Closing Price: $1.49
  • Highest Price: $5.09
  • Lowest Price: $1.28
  • Annual Return: -70.63%

2026 (to date)

  • Opening Price: $1.46
  • Closing Price: $1.07
  • Highest Price: $1.46
  • Lowest Price: $1.04
  • Annual Return: -26.34%

Potential returns for an investor purchasing 10 FIL tokens during the recent market cycle:

  • 2024: -45.49 USD
  • 2025: -40.13 USD
  • 2026 to date: -3.84 USD

Summary: Bull Markets, Bear Markets, and Investment Timing Analysis

Through analysis of Filecoin’s historical prices and potential returns across multiple market cycles, a clear long-term downtrend is evident. Since peaking in 2021 at $182.86, FIL has experienced a sustained decline, with current prices trading near all-time lows. The data suggests investors face significant headwinds, and current valuations do not present an obvious opportunity for new capital allocation at this juncture.

FIL-0.09%
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
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