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The nomination of a new Fed Chair significantly impacts market liquidity and risk appetite. Here is how it affects the Crypto and Forex markets:
Impact on Forex (US Dollar)
USD Strength: The Dollar Index (DXY) recently recovered as the likelihood of a "dovish" (rate-cutting) nominee like Kevin Hassett decreased. A more hawkish Chair supports a stronger USD by keeping U.S. bond yields attractive to global investors.
Independence Risk: The biggest threat to the Forex market is the "independence discount." If the market believes the Fed is losing its independence to the White House, the USD could weaken sharply as investors lose confidence in the currency’s long-term stability.
Volatility: Expect high volatility in pairs like EUR/USD and USD/JPY leading up to the official announcement in late January, as traders jump to price in the new "regime" of US monetary policy.
#WhoIsNextFedChair $XAU