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Let's talk about my current market perspective.
First, a note at the beginning—this is the initial version of 牛尾熊.
Trading is about going with the trend; being a KOL/blogger requires going against the trend.
Short-term bullishness is possible, but the long-term outlook can only be bearish. Rebounds are not reversals. You must understand this—occasional rebounds are just a breather. The real profit lies not in rebounds but in the confirmed trend after a breakout.
Also, don't easily believe in so-called "project team rescue measures." Essentially, it's just forcing your narrative in a bear market. Discussing faith, market support, or significance during a decline is not very meaningful. If you don't let the price fall when it should, you'll only prolong the garbage time in the end.
Moreover, more and more people want to become KOLs or social media influencers. In fact, daily lip service is really meaningless. As for those AI-generated articles, many say they don't know what to say or write every day. Essentially, it's because they consume too little content. Creativity doesn't require special skills; it's about input—more reading, thinking, and experience—then naturally, you'll have something to output.
The same applies to trading: patience, discipline, holding, and cutting losses.
Understanding these isn't difficult; the hard part is execution. Just like losing weight—everyone understands the principle, but only a few can actually do it.
Trading is about going with the trend (I've said this many times); being a KOL/blogger is about going against the trend. (In this era of diminishing returns, following the trend as a blogger only results in steady consumption. Only by deviating can you encounter counter-moves and stand out).
These points don't guarantee success, but at least they ensure you won't have a predetermined life.