Greenland's acquisition odds are plummeting on Polymarket. The decentralized prediction market is currently pricing the probability of US territorial expansion into Greenland at under 20%, suggesting professional traders remain deeply skeptical of the deal materializing. While high-profile political figures continue making bold claims about the possibility, the actual market participants—those putting their capital on the line—are voting with their money. This stark divergence between public rhetoric and prediction market signals reveals something crucial: when real money is at stake, market participants tend to price in the most probable outcomes rather than speculative wishes. Polymarket traders are essentially saying the odds of this happening are far lower than the headlines might suggest. It's a fascinating case study in how decentralized prediction markets can serve as a reality check against hyperbolic political discourse.