Bitcoin hit a recent high of approximately $97,000 on January 14, reigniting market discussions about the four-year cycle pattern—does the historical pattern of three years of growth followed by one year of correction still hold?

According to crypto market analysts, the probability of an upward trend in 2026 is between 55-65%. In other words, the current red K-line trend in 2025 is seen as a cooling-off period, representing accumulation rather than a reversal.

Confirmation of key levels is particularly important: a monthly close above $105,000 would be a strong bullish signal, while $90,000 remains a critical support level to hold. Additionally, it is worth noting that Bitcoin's market share in the entire crypto market has exceeded 57%, indicating that mainstream capital's recognition of leading assets is continuously increasing.