There is an eternal illusion in the market: the existence of an omnipotent opponent who possesses all information and can accurately predict every price moment. But this illusion is doomed to shatter.

In reality, the real threat comes from quantitative institutions and traders with insider information. They indeed have more data and computational power than retail investors. In ultra-short-term minute-level trading, they can capture micro fluctuations through high-frequency trading (HFT). This reality is right in front of us.

But here’s a key turning point— their advantage mainly lies in the short term. If you insist on competing with these machines on the minute chart, you’re only asking for trouble.

**So what to do?** Switch tracks. Don’t play on the minute chart; compete on the yearly chart. Quantitative giants excel at capturing micro-level fluctuations, but macro trends are constrained by the second law of entropy, making them even harder to predict precisely. The advantage of long-term holders is precisely here—over a long enough period, noise is automatically filtered out, and true trends gradually emerge.

**Another trick: reduce leverage.** This is crucial. The higher your leverage, the more demanding your price accuracy requirements become. For example, holding a full position with a stop-loss at an exact price. But if your LTV (Loan-to-Value) ratio stays around 20%, you have much more room to maneuver. Short-term price fluctuations won’t directly threaten your position, giving you ample time to wait for market correction.

In summary: extend the cycle, reduce leverage, and manage your positions well. These aren’t flashy techniques, but they are the standard for traders who can truly survive long-term.