BTC's trend has always been a cycle with its own rhythm; most people just keep fighting against this system with reverse or reverse-reverse thinking. They can't chase the highs, and they dare not buy at the lows, just waiting for a pullback and sideways movement, only to find themselves becoming passive thinkers.

The system only favors those who can stay aligned with it. It's not about being stubborn, but about being steadfast at heart. Many people misunderstand the meaning of a pullback—if there isn't a significant volume and a synchronized closure across different timeframes, then it's still in the filling-the-ditch stage. The previous pits haven't been fully filled, and the reverse pits haven't been properly handled. At this point, claiming that a big trend is coming is just nonsense.

A pit isn't like a car loan or mortgage with a built-in liquidation line; it's more like a compound interest credit card trap. The principal is paid back, the interest is paid, but even if there's not a penny left, it remains a pit forever. Just like a credit card monthly repayment—paid on time but always feeling like there's still more to pay.

When the market moves slightly, people get overly excited, patting their thighs and saying they missed it again. When the market is active, they ask where it is; when it’s gone, they ask where you are. Ultimately, it's all firewood—no need to make things difficult for each other.

The strategy is simple—first short the market, place the stop-loss just above 100,000, then close the position before the flames burn out. Look for opportunities to short at the bottom, and chase the rally when it hits 80,000 or even 70,000. Be a reasonable firewood—what if one day it actually comes true?

Understanding is to first go up and then look for a short; this isn't a divine trick, just a process. Surviving this segment of the market makes you qualified to talk about wins and losses.