Howard Marks, co-founder of Oak Tree Capital, recently offered sharp criticism of gold investing, asserting that the status of gold as a store of wealth is seriously overrated.



In Marks's view, the core issue is that gold does not generate cash flow. Unlike assets like stocks and bonds that can produce regular income, gold's value entirely depends on the subjective judgment of market participants. In other words, there is no objective valuation basis supporting the gold price, let alone any so-called intrinsic value. He used an analogy, comparing it to "The Emperor's New Clothes"—everyone pretends to see something, ultimately falling into collective self-deception.

Historical data also supports this view. Even if economic logic at a certain period seems reasonable, once a crisis hits, gold prices can also plummet significantly. Therefore, claims that gold can preserve value are actually just a circular argument based on "people believe it will preserve value."

However, to be fair, recent gold prices have indeed been rising. Central bank gold purchases and geopolitical tensions have boosted demand, with gold prices expected to increase by 7% in 2026. But within Marks's framework, none of this changes the fundamental issue that gold lacks valuation support—prosperity without a real value floor will eventually revert to rationality.

This perspective also offers insights into innovative assets like Bitcoin: what truly constitutes the real value of an investment? How far can consensus alone carry it? These are questions every investor should seriously consider.
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DevChivevip
· 01-18 06:44
Max's words are a bit absolute. It's a fact that gold has no cash flow, but during a crisis, holding gold is probably better than holding a bunch of numbers.
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BearMarketGardenervip
· 01-16 07:31
Max's comments are spot on. Gold is just a consensus game; without cash flow, there's no valuation basis. Why pretend it's a store of value? Basically, everyone is just waiting for the next fool to take the bait. Speaking of which, this logic also applies to Bitcoin—both rely on faith to hold up. Central banks buying gold only temporarily boosts demand; in the long run, it still depends on fundamentals... Will they fall into the trap again this time? No one can save gold when it falls; history has proven this. It's ridiculous. Those promoting gold as a store of value probably haven't even thought about this. Assets without actual income sources should be questioned; all kinds of "hedging" claims don't stand up to scrutiny.
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HodlOrRegretvip
· 01-16 03:59
Max's theory sounds great, but why didn't he follow suit when gold prices rose by 7%? Basically, he's a hindsight strategist. When the Black Swan arrives, gold still can save lives. Cash flow is worthless in the face of a collapse. Isn't this just an advanced version of "I don't understand, so everyone else is wrong"? The central bank is still buying, institutions are still accumulating, this is true voting. The Emperor's New Clothes metaphor is overused, but aren't stock and bond valuations just paper numbers? Ultimately, it's all a confidence game.
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Anon4461vip
· 01-16 03:58
Max is right, gold is just a psychological game. Without cash flow, who really values it? Wait, isn't Bitcoin even more虚? At least you can touch gold. The Emperor's New Clothes analogy is brilliant, revealing the truth about the investment circle. The central bank is still疯狂 buying gold. Max was a bit早 this time. Saying there's no valuation基础, but gold prices are still rising. Whether the logic is correct is another matter. Consensus itself is价值, huh? Here we go again with philosophy.
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DarkPoolWatchervip
· 01-16 03:56
Max's argument sounds quite reasonable, but how do you explain the 7% increase in gold prices? Central banks are all accumulating gold, isn't that the strongest consensus?
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SleepyValidatorvip
· 01-16 03:56
Max, this guy is right, gold is just a consensus game, without cash flow it's really awkward. --- Wait, the central bank is still疯狂 buying gold, isn't there a bit of a contradiction in this logic... --- The Emperor's New Clothes analogy is perfect, gold investors must be破防了 haha. --- And what about Bitcoin? It also has no cash flow, how can you反驳 this logic? --- Basically, it depends on who believes longer; gold has lost to the central bank’s wallet. --- A 7% increase can't even stop him from喷, indeed, old-school value investors only care about cash flow. --- When it comes to true value, if you can't explain it clearly, then don't bother explaining; anyway, I'm out.
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MoonRocketmanvip
· 01-16 03:54
Max's logical flaw is so big it could fly a rocket through it... No cash flow for gold? Then why doesn't he use this theory to criticize real estate? Now it breaks through the atmosphere and rises 7%, only to say "I knew it would fall" when the crisis hits and RSI peaks—that's just armchair quarterbacking. How to read Bollinger Bands? Gold price has already broken through the gravity resistance level, and the central bank's gold purchase window hasn't closed yet. Don't just focus on the "worthless" excuse. Consensus can indeed go far; just look at Bitcoin. Whether or not there is cash flow is actually not the key.
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GasGasGasBrovip
· 01-16 03:51
Max is right, gold is truly a consensus game. No matter how beautiful something is without cash flow, it's useless. The big shot is right. Once a crisis hits, the true nature is revealed. The so-called value preservation is just not sustainable. Speaking of which, applying this logic to BTC is quite ironic... it's all supported by faith. The central bank is frantically buying gold, while retail investors are still struggling in the fire and flames. This market is like this.
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