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Tonight's market will be very volatile. Two key events will occur simultaneously: at 21:30 Beijing time, the US retail sales and PPI data will be released, along with the Supreme Court's ruling on Trump's tariffs case. The market could experience sharp fluctuations at any time, whether you're a novice or a veteran, you need to be prepared.
First, let's talk about economic data. Retail sales are expected to increase by 0.4% month-on-month. It sounds insignificant, but when actual data surpasses or falls short of expectations, it can trigger a chain reaction. Strong data means expectations for rate cuts will cool down, the US dollar will strengthen, and cryptocurrencies are likely to come under pressure along with US stocks. Conversely, weak data, while possibly reinforcing rate cut expectations, can also lead funds to flow into gold—rather than Bitcoin. This year, the safe-haven attribute of the crypto market has indeed weakened, and its speculative nature has become more apparent.
More attention should be paid to the tariff issue. If the court approves Trump's tariff plan, the probability of imposing a 36% tariff on Asian mining machines will significantly increase. This directly impacts the profit margins of US miners, as rising costs could lead to large-scale migration of mining farms, which in turn affects the stability of the entire network's hash rate and ultimately influences the price of coins. The market tends to react very sensitively to such policy risks; sometimes, a single piece of news can cause sharp market swings.
From an operational perspective, the most prudent approach is to wait until the outcome is clear before taking action. If you must participate amid volatility, be sure to strictly control your positions; protecting your principal is the top priority. In such high-uncertainty markets, winning depends on luck, and losing can teach you real lessons about real money.
Starting at 21:30, the market will enter a decisive moment. Keep a close eye on the data releases and court rulings, and be prepared to adjust your strategy at any time.