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Bitcoin's recent market movement has indeed been quite fierce. Yesterday, it surged directly to $97,000, just a hair's breadth away from the $100,000 mark. In the short term, the momentum is very strong. From a technical analysis perspective, the long-term moving average groups are contracting, indicating that confidence among long-term investors is gradually recovering. Meanwhile, the short-term moving averages are diverging upwards, clearly signaling a bottoming pattern. Based on this trajectory, breaking through the 200-day moving average within the next month should not be an issue, and the probability of re-establishing above $100,000 is quite high. At that point, a new wave of market cycles may begin.
The underlying logic behind this is actually not hard to understand. Bitcoin is essentially a tool to hedge against global economic risks. It is closely linked to USD liquidity, fiat currency confidence, and global economic fluctuations. Once the Federal Reserve initiates a rate-cutting cycle and its balance sheet begins expanding, expectations of liquidity easing will strengthen. This creates fertile ground for Bitcoin to surge from $100,000 to $150,000 or even higher. Currently, there are several catalysts in the policy environment—such as the new leadership's attitude towards liquidity and the Federal Reserve's policy stance—that could accelerate this process. In simple terms, liquidity expansion is the real driving force behind Bitcoin's strength this year.
As for NFTs, although their popularity has waned quite a bit over the past two years, many people have misunderstood them. NFTs have not disappeared; they are simply undergoing a normal consolidation phase during the bear market cycle. As non-fungible tokens, their application scenarios are far broader than what fungible assets can imagine, and their long-term potential remains enormous. The current market lull is just a cyclical natural adjustment phase, not the end. Many new projects are quietly accumulating energy, waiting for the next explosive opportunity.
Breaking 100,000 is easy, but the question is who will clean up the domino effect of leveraged liquidations.
Liquidity expansion? Wake up, every time in history it's been said this way, and then chain liquidations follow.
NFTs are "resting"? Better to say they're waiting to die. The market's coldness is essentially a breakdown of confidence.
97,000 is just a false alarm; the health factors are not in place, and the next big drop could be just around the corner.
Liquidity is the key; when the Federal Reserve loosens its grip, Bitcoin will take off directly.
Don't rush on the NFT side either; a bear market is an opportunity to accumulate. Just wait and see.
Really, the policy environment has changed recently, and this year will definitely be different.
150,000 is not a dream. It's still not too late to get on board now.
97k is almost pushed to 150k? This wave is pretty intense.
NFT cleanup? Wake up, that guy has been cold for a long time.
We don't know what's really in the minds of the Federal Reserve folks; betting on policy is too risky.
Can we really break the 100k threshold this time? I'm still a bit skeptical.
Basically, it's a bet on rate cuts; without liquidity, everything is pointless.
No matter how good the story about NFTs is, it can't save those zeroed-out trash projects.
Short-term moving averages, they can be a reference, but don't take them too seriously.
Instead of studying the 200-day moving average, better to study what the Federal Reserve Chair is really saying.
Waiting for the next breakout opportunity? I feel like this "waiting" might take a very long time.
Liquidity, to put it simply, is just a printing press—honest words.
NFTs are sleeping, but not dead. They will be even more powerful when they wake up.
97k has already arrived. What are you hesitating for?
When the Federal Reserve moves, we have to follow suit and go crazy.
By the way, will this round directly surge to 150,000? It's hard to imagine.
In a bear market, it's actually a good opportunity to stock up.
I believe in signals like the moving average contraction; fundamentals will follow.
NFTs have been misunderstood for too long. There's still a long way to go.
Short-term is fierce, but the long-term story is the most exciting, I feel.
Liquidity is right, but it still depends on how the Federal Reserve plays
I do believe in NFTs, there are indeed people lurking in the bear market
Break the level and go all in, bet everything on it
Moving averages... sometimes they just fake out, be careful
150,000? Dream on, let's first get past 100,000
It's just a cycle, history will always repeat itself, waiting for the next round
The logic of liquidity has indeed been justified, it all depends on how the Federal Reserve plays
NFTs are sleeping but not dead, that's a pretty good analogy
Bitcoin is surging, while altcoins are still in a daze
I've said it before, the bottom isn't that simple, are you only believing it now?
Is there really a high probability of surpassing 100,000? It still seems to depend on macro factors
NFT application scenarios have been hyped for so long, but we still haven't seen much
Ultimately, the expansion of liquidity is still controlled by the Federal Reserve
The bear market is accumulating energy, and so are the huge profits... let's hope.