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#数字资产市场动态 Want to gain a deeper understanding of how Bitcoin prices move? It's essentially a psychological battle among holders.
From the perspective of cost basis distribution, it's quite interesting—after investors accumulate heavily within a certain price range, a "psychological price band" forms. When the price drops back, these holders become conflicted: cut losses and sell or hold on? Most choose to cut losses, which then suppresses the price. This is the so-called "supply wall," an invisible barrier preventing the price from rising.
The reverse also holds true—if the price falls below the cost, holders prefer to hold on stubbornly rather than sell at a loss; if the price surges to a level well above the cost, profits are taken, and selling pressure naturally diminishes. This logical chain may seem a bit convoluted, but the market plays out this drama every day.
The $80,000 to $95,000 range is considered a foundational zone, repeatedly appearing as both buyers and sellers test each other's bottom lines. But the market won't stay there long—once the price breaks through, the focus shifts upward. The next key zone is around $110,000 to $114,000, which becomes the new battleground.
The most interesting point is at $117,000—mentioned multiple times, with particularly dense supply. When the price rebounds to this level, it gets pushed back down repeatedly, turning it into a "nail resistance." Each rebound attempt to break through fails, indicating that historical trading volume is really thick here.
In fact, the entire process is the market gradually digesting these historically dense trading zones. Each breakout from a resistance level leads into the next consolidation zone, then faces new selling pressure from previous accumulators. It's like climbing stairs—each step requires adjusting to a new height.
Options market sentiment indicators, funding rates, and similar data act as the market's "thermometer," helping you confirm which side—bulls or bears—is more anxious. Ultimately, the decision still lies with demand—strong buying can absorb supply pressure and push the price through; if buying momentum is weak, the price will oscillate within the cost concentration zone, waiting for new demand to enter.