#比特币市场表现 Seeing Galaxy's 2026 forecast, what keeps flashing in my mind is still the scene before the 2017 bubble burst. Back then, various institutions were racing to make bold predictions, with voices claiming Bitcoin would hit $100,000 everywhere. But as you all know, what actually happened was quite different.

This time, the logical chain of the prediction is more solid. The path from $20,000 to $250,000 extends to 2027, indicating that institutions have learned their lesson and are no longer making grand promises within a year. The gradual approach is honest—acknowledging the uncertainties in 2026, with high implied volatility in options and unstable macroeconomic conditions, these are old issues.

What’s more worth pondering are the other observations. Solana shifting from Meme cycles to revenue-generating businesses, and the growth trajectory of ICM market cap—these reflect an increasing maturity of the ecosystem. I’ve experienced multiple cycles; every fundamental transformation isn’t driven by a single asset but by the gradual improvement of the entire ecosystem’s infrastructure and application layer.

The prediction that DEX trading volume share will surpass 25% is also interesting. It’s a critical threshold signal. I’ve seen it take years to climb from 1% to 5%, and the acceleration from 5% to 15% has been noticeably faster. When it hits 25%, it’s no longer about participation but a market structure shift. Once such a shift occurs, it’s very hard to reverse.

Compared to specific price figures, I care more about whether these structural changes are truly happening. History has shown me that those who catch the turning points of cycles are often not the ones attracted by price numbers.