Today I have time to review the TIMI competition data. I was busy outside during the day and only had time to organize my thoughts in the evening.

Previously, I shared a prediction formula for the competition results, with the core logic: Final predicted result = Score the day before the end + Total trading volume on the end day ÷ Total reward shares × Competition multiplier × Competition coefficient.

Let's try plugging in TIMI's actual data:
- Score the day before the end: 99,940
- Total trading volume on the end day: 700 million
- Total reward shares: 5,240
- Competition multiplier: 1
- Competition coefficient: originally planned at 0.85, but on that day, a flash crash of LISA caused retail investors to flood in to刷分, and the coin continued to decline without contracts. Considering this, adjusting the coefficient to 0.65 is more reasonable.

Plugging into the formula: 99,940 + 700,000,000 ÷ 5,240 × 1 × 0.65 = 186,772

This predicted result is significantly higher than the final announced 144,030. Post-analysis shows that after 9 PM, trading volume remained hot, with about half of the trades coming from retail investors刷分 quickly. If we recalculate with a trading volume of 350 million and keep the coefficient at 0.85, the result is approximately 156,714—indicating that the formula itself is valid, and the difference mainly stems from dynamic adjustment of the coefficient and the unpredictability of retail investor behavior.