Can we really trust the current market bounce?

There's a new framework floating around that might help answer this: S-TCTM. It pulls together 10 different metrics to actually measure whether a trend has legs or if it's just noise.

Here's how it works—when at least 30% of these components light up, that's your green light. A buy signal fires. Simple enough on paper, but what matters is real-world performance.

And here's the kicker: historically, this model has been surprisingly solid. Minimal drawdowns, consistent results. That kind of track record doesn't guarantee future gains, obviously, but it does suggest the framework has merit for gauging recovery durability in crypto markets.

So next time you're wondering if support is real or just temporary relief—this model offers a structured way to think about it.