#恶意攻击手段 The story of quantum computing cracking Bitcoin is once again in the spotlight, but upon closer inspection of experts' opinions, it's quite interesting — 90% of it is marketing hype, and true cracking will take at least ten more years. The "quantum apocalypse" scenario is unlikely to happen by 2026.

But there's a detail that can't be ignored: currently, about 25-30% of Bitcoin exists in addresses with exposed public keys, which are the most vulnerable to attack. Even more concerning, attackers are quietly collecting encrypted data now, planning to decrypt it all once quantum technology matures. This tactic is called "collect first, decrypt later." In other words, they are laying traps in advance.

So instead of being scared by the panic over quantum computing, it's more reliable to take action now — reduce address reuse, and migrate funds quickly once quantum-secure wallets are available. Rather than passively waiting for threats to arrive, proactively defending is smarter. This is the smart person's approach.