The most profitable methods are often not the most complicated.

Over the years in the crypto world, I've seen too many people rush in with dreams of overnight riches, only to be left with nothing. The market isn't short of smart people; what’s truly scarce are those who know how to "stay alive."

I've also taken some wrong turns myself. I used to obsessively study all kinds of complex indicators, thinking I could catch every wave. After years of messing around, I realized that the simplest "dumb" methods are actually the ones that allow you to survive the longest. Today, I’ll lay out this approach—simple in appearance, but if executed properly, the results might be bigger than you expect.

**The best time to see the essence is during a big drop**

When the market plunges sharply, the true nature of each coin is revealed. I pay special attention to this detail: as blood flows in the market, if a coin only experiences minor adjustments, there must be funds supporting it behind the scenes. These coins don’t need to be sold in a hurry; there’s usually more drama to come.

Conversely, coins that dive along with the market are mostly retail investors’ plays. Without big funds backing them, once the trend weakens, they fall hardest. I’ve never been sentimental about these coins.

The market is like a sieve—during a big drop, it helps filter out the truly resilient coins. That’s also why I don’t blindly cut losses during a crash but instead stay calm and observe who is holding up.

**There are only two lines in my trading system**

My trading system is as simple as it gets—5-day moving average and 20-day moving average, that’s all.

For short-term trading, focus on the 5-day line. If the price stays above it, hold; if it breaks below, get out immediately. No overthinking, no fantasies, no excuses. Discipline is everything for making money.

For slightly longer swings, watch the 20-day line. This line reflects the medium-term rhythm. As long as the price remains above the 20-day line, keep your position; once it breaks convincingly, consider reducing or exiting.

It’s that simple. No complicated combinations like RSI, MACD, or Bollinger Bands—those look professional but often fail in real market conditions. The most basic moving averages, tested over time, are incredibly reliable.

**Doing simple things repeatedly is the real moat**

Many people always want to find some secret weapon. Actually, there isn’t one. Profitable traders in crypto are simply those who repeatedly execute a set of methods and learn the rhythm through different market cycles.

I’ve seen many with exceptional research skills, knowing everything, but when it comes to execution, they waver. A market rebound makes them chase; a small correction makes them panic. In the end, they turn a good strategy into trash.

The ones who last the longest are often those who don’t seem so smart. Their superpower is: persistence. Using a set of rules for three, five years, constantly refining details through repetition.

**A few additional insights**

Sometimes, the flow of funds is more direct than technical indicators. When certain coins suddenly attract big capital, their trends change noticeably. This isn’t about chasing hot trends but about being sensitive to shifts in capital flow.

Also, maintaining a stable mindset can be more valuable than technical skills. A good method combined with impatience can lead to big losses. Conversely, a mediocre method with strict discipline can last a long time.

Repeating simple actions may seem unremarkable. But in crypto, those who can do this have already left most people behind.