Tonight at 21:30, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the first non-farm employment data for 2026. This data release can directly influence the direction of the entire crypto market, and many traders will be watching this report closely.

Let's look at the numbers first: the market expects an increase of 60,000 jobs this time, compared to the actual increase of 64,000 jobs in the previous month. Also released simultaneously is the December unemployment rate, which is expected to decrease from 4.60% to 4.50%. This may seem like a small change, but the impact on market sentiment can be significant and unpredictable.

What exactly is "non-farm data"? Simply put, it refers to the employment gains and losses across all industries in the United States except agriculture. When the Federal Reserve adjusts its policies, this data is an important reference—it reflects whether the economy is expanding or slowing down. If the data deviates too much from expectations, the capital markets usually experience noticeable volatility.

How is this data collected? It’s not just made up on a whim; it’s based on real job changes sampled from tens of thousands of U.S. companies and government agencies. It’s updated on the first Friday of each month, reporting on the employment situation of the previous month.

Will tonight’s report be better or worse than expected? How much turbulence will it bring to the market? The opening is at 21:30—let’s see what happens.