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Recently, these two events are about to materialize, and whether the rebound can be more vigorous largely depends on the outcomes of these two. Overall, the likelihood of positive news is higher.
**First: US December Non-Farm Payrolls Data**
It will be announced tonight at 21:30. Data above expectations means a bearish signal, below expectations is bullish. Currently, market expectations are somewhat divided, roughly a 50-50 situation.
**Second: Supreme Court Ruling on the Legality of Tariffs**
The result is expected within the next couple of days. If the ruling declares tariffs unconstitutional, the market will experience significant changes—just the refund of import taxes could exceed 100 billion USD, and this money will flow directly into the market. Tariffs are reduced, easing corporate costs, and inflationary pressures are less intense. Of course, the deficit might widen, which means the Federal Reserve's money-printing machine will need to keep running, which is definitely positive for assets like BTC and gold that hedge against inflation. The market generally favors this direction, and I personally estimate the probability of an unconstitutional ruling at around 60%.
**Strategy Advice**
The window for a market reversal is right in front of us, so don’t rush to chase highs. Be patient and hold steady; buy on dips. Once these two events are confirmed, the rebound could be quite impressive.