#BTC价格波动 Pompliano's words still sound interesting; from the perspective of volatility compression, indeed not many people are paying attention. No sharp rise at the end of the year has instead become a protective factor? Basically, without extreme expectations, there is no logic for extreme drops.

However, I am still a bit confused. A 100% increase in two years and a 300% increase in three years sound impressive, but currently BTC has not broken through $250,000, and ending the year like this is also quite surprising. He is talking about long-term compound interest strategies, but who cares? Right now, we just want to see a short-term takeoff.

The statement that the probability of a significant decline in Q1 is low gives me some confidence, at least it won't explode at the beginning of next year. But the problem is, if volatility is so compressed, how can we get on board organically? Do we need to wait for some explosive event to ignite, or just consolidate like this? It feels like we still need to wait until next year to see Bitcoin's true reaction; it's too early to draw conclusions now.