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A major pillar supporting European long-term government bond demand is vanishing, and it's worth paying attention to.
For years, central banks—particularly the ECB and others across the eurozone—were massive buyers of sovereign debt, creating a steady demand floor. That structural support is evaporating. As monetary tightening cycles wind down and central banks shift away from their historical accumulation strategies, a huge chunk of bond demand simply disappears from the market.
Why does this matter? When demand shrinks while supply remains elevated, bond yields typically climb higher to attract new buyers. That ripple effect extends beyond just European fixed income—it reshapes the entire asset allocation landscape.
For traders and portfolio managers, this signals a shift in market dynamics. The era of "free money" pushing up bond prices is over. Investors now face real questions: what replaces institutional central bank demand? Who's stepping in as a marginal buyer? How do institutions rebalance when traditional safe-haven bonds become less attractive at current yield levels?
This is precisely the kind of structural market shift that creates both opportunities and risks. Whether you're running a traditional fund or thinking about crypto allocations as portfolio diversification, understanding these macro currents matters.