In recent years, tracking the market trends, I have found that the correlation between Bitcoin and the US stock market has indeed become closer. Especially when there is any movement, Bitcoin tends to fluctuate accordingly. But there is an interesting phenomenon — BTC often hits bottom before the US stocks do, usually with a 2 to 4 week gap in between.
The market in 2022 clearly demonstrated this pattern. That year, BTC had already reached the bottom around mid-June at 15,500, while the Nasdaq didn't stabilize until October. Following this rhythm, if there is a 20-point correction this year, BTC is likely to start bottoming out about a month earlier than the US stocks.
However, to be honest, instead of worrying about when the correction will come or end, it’s better to focus on managing your positions properly. The market’s rhythm won’t change based on our predictions, but with reasonable position allocation, we can effectively respond to different market scenarios.
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MoonlightGamer
· 01-12 06:21
Hey, I agree with this logic. Instead of guessing the bottom every day, it's better to manage your positions properly.
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potentially_notable
· 01-09 06:38
This logic has some merit, but I still think chasing the time difference can easily trap you. It's better to focus on setting good stop-loss points.
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ser_we_are_early
· 01-09 06:34
Damn, this 2 to 4 week time gap is really impressive, but we still have to admit that predictions are just gambling. Proper position management is the real secret to survival.
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DegenTherapist
· 01-09 06:26
Well said, this analysis really hits the nail on the head. Instead of guessing the bottom every day, it's more important to master the real skill of position management.
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MetaverseVagabond
· 01-09 06:23
I've also noticed that Bitcoin is bottoming out early, but honestly, predicting the timing difference isn't very useful. It's still important to set stop-losses.
In recent years, tracking the market trends, I have found that the correlation between Bitcoin and the US stock market has indeed become closer. Especially when there is any movement, Bitcoin tends to fluctuate accordingly. But there is an interesting phenomenon — BTC often hits bottom before the US stocks do, usually with a 2 to 4 week gap in between.
The market in 2022 clearly demonstrated this pattern. That year, BTC had already reached the bottom around mid-June at 15,500, while the Nasdaq didn't stabilize until October. Following this rhythm, if there is a 20-point correction this year, BTC is likely to start bottoming out about a month earlier than the US stocks.
However, to be honest, instead of worrying about when the correction will come or end, it’s better to focus on managing your positions properly. The market’s rhythm won’t change based on our predictions, but with reasonable position allocation, we can effectively respond to different market scenarios.