#预测市场 The competitive landscape of prediction markets is undergoing interesting changes. Polymarket's move to build its own L2 layer actually reflects a deeper logic in the Web3 application and infrastructure layers—when an application grows large enough to support its own users and traffic, it gains the power of choice.

This is not betrayal, but a true demonstration of the Web3 decentralization spirit. Essentially, each public chain is competing to become the "optimal host for applications." If the underlying network cannot provide enough value (such as performance, cost, innovation), application teams naturally have the right to seek a more suitable direction. The initial success of Polygon was largely due to mastering two fundamental skills: EVM compatibility and low costs.

But this also reminds us—within the Web3 ecosystem, there are no permanent moats, only continuous innovation and value creation. Prediction markets themselves are a highly imaginative arena, from Polymarket to other new players, everyone showcasing their unique strengths. This healthy competition will ultimately push the entire industry to higher levels.

The mutual checks and balances between underlying infrastructure and application layers are shaping a more open and vibrant ecosystem. This is the power of decentralization.