## Why am I confident to bet 10,000 yuan on full-time trading?

When I entered the crypto world, Bitcoin's price was already ridiculously high, but I realized one thing: for ordinary people, changing their fate is never about hitting a "fantasy coin," but about seizing high-probability opportunities in the face of overall market trends.

At that time, ETH and other altcoins hadn't taken off yet. I stuck to two bottom lines: **only spot trading, never leverage**—I've heard too many stories of margin calls, and this approach simply isn't suitable for retail investors like us. The second is **position management**: divide 10,000 yuan into 10 parts, investing only one part each time. If I lose money, I cut it off; no adding more. When I gain 30%, I withdraw the principal.

Some people laugh at me for being "cowardly." But it’s precisely this "cowardice" that has allowed me to live comfortably through the 2024-2025 market cycle—small losses during downturns, and big gains when the market turns bullish.

## Have you ever faced such a dilemma?

BTC rises 30%, ETH falls 30%. Most people would choose to sell BTC to buy more ETH, which sounds logical: bottom-fishing a declining asset. But what happens? BTC keeps soaring, ETH keeps dying, and you end up caught in a crossfire.

My approach is the opposite—**sell ETH to buy more BTC**. This isn’t based on gut feeling, but on a reality:

Strong assets always attract capital. In the crypto world, funds always flow toward the stronger assets, and most people operating against the trend get wiped out. Moreover, a 30% drop isn’t necessarily cheap, and a 30% rise isn’t necessarily the top. ETH’s sharp decline might indicate fundamental issues, while BTC’s continuous rise often signals institutional accumulation.

What’s the difference? **One is based on intuition, the other on data**. I look at on-chain capital flows and ETF purchase trends, not just simple price movements.