Don’t be fooled by the word "interest rate cuts." Recently, there have been rumors everywhere that Trump’s policies will force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. Many people, after reading the news, want to sell their houses, borrow money, and jump into the crypto world. Honestly, this mindset is very dangerous.

In the last round of interest rate cuts, Bitcoin indeed increased several times, but the current situation is completely different. Back then, the crypto market was still in its wild growth phase, with funds flowing in continuously; now, the regulatory framework has taken shape, and market participants are much more mature. Trying to replicate the explosive growth of that time is no longer on the same level of difficulty.

Most importantly—markets always price in expectations in advance. More than a year before the first half of 2026, large institutions have already been quietly positioning themselves. Why has the crypto market recently been oscillating within a narrow range? On the surface, it seems calm, but in reality, there are undercurrents. These institutions have already secured their positions; next, they will either wait for the right moment or prepare to shake out the retail investors.

For ordinary people, the current risk isn’t about not entering the market, but about chasing high during the hottest expectations. Once policy changes occur or economic data underperform, the market is likely to undergo a deep correction. By then, most people who bought in will be caught in a trap.

Interest rate cuts are not a free ATM. Blindly following the trend often results in becoming someone else’s chips.