US Budget Bill Eases Shutdown Risks, Crypto Market Sentiment Reverses

2026-01-03 11:20:10

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【CryptoWorld】Latest news from the U.S. Department of the Treasury: The 2025 appropriations bill has advanced most federal spending through September next year, significantly easing market concerns over a government shutdown. Market forecast data also reflect this shift—the probability of a government shutdown has dropped sharply from 38% a few weeks ago to 26%.

Looking back, the market was once overshadowed by dual pressures. On one hand, the threat of a government shutdown; on the other, noticeable outflows of funds from Bitcoin ETFs. Under the combined influence of these forces, the entire cryptocurrency market suffered a heavy blow—total market capitalization once fell by nearly $200 billion. Bitcoin was hit hardest, retreating 6% from its high near $93,000, a substantial decline.

As the uncertainty surrounding government budgets diminishes, market fear is gradually easing. This may open a window for a rebound in crypto assets.

BTC-1.64%

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AirdropHuntress

· 01-04 13:56

The 12% probability of a government shutdown sounds like a significant decrease, but the key is to see the actual implementation moving forward. How many times have similar news stories turned out to be false alarms before? If there's a real rebound this time, we need to first confirm the ETF fund flow; otherwise, it might just be the last hurrah for a sell-off.

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SybilSlayer

· 01-04 02:32

Finally some good news. It's been really painful watching the market stay green for the past two weeks. --- $200 billion is gone, and now you're talking about relief? I already sold out, brothers. --- Wait, is this really a rebound? Or is it just the eve of another round of chopping the leeks? --- The probability of a halt has dropped from 38 to 26. Looks good, is it time to buy the dip? --- Btc dropped 6% from 93k. Feels like it’s halved, the psychological effect is too strong. --- Just political showboating, don’t overthink it. Focus on the fundamentals. --- Is this the rebound? I doubt it, funds are still on the sidelines. --- Damn, if I knew it would be like this, I wouldn’t have sold so panicily. --- Has the window opened? Feels like it needs to drop more before the real window opens. --- The double suppression is over. Is this opportunity real this time?

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ChainSpy

· 01-03 11:42

Finally, a sigh of relief. This policy came at the right time, or else we would have been cut again. This time is different. Even with $200 billion lost, we're still alive. Bitcoin dropped from 93k. Is now the rebound opportunity? I don't think so; it depends on what happens next. The probability of a shutdown dropped from 38% to 26%. Is the market reaction this quick? It seems the positive news has already been priced in. A blessing for HODLers. The worst thing is this kind of uncertainty.

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BlockchainFoodie

· 01-03 11:41

yo ngl this is like when you finally get your sourdough starter stable after weeks of chaos — the uncertainty just evaporates and suddenly everything tastes better. government shutdown fears dropping from 38% to 26%? that's the proof-of-freshness we needed lol

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MerkleDreamer

· 01-03 11:34

Finally, some relief. This policy really saved many people. It feels like the rebound window is truly opening; now we just need to see if it can stabilize. The previous $200 billion evaporation was outrageous; now it's time to recover. The probability of a shutdown has dropped from 38% to 26%, which is a bit unbelievable... Can we really trust this? Bitcoin is still fluctuating around 92k; let's see if it can surge back to the high levels. I'm most afraid of another false alarm; politics can change suddenly. This pace is a bit fast. Are the Americans really solving the problem or just making empty promises?

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ChainSherlockGirl

· 01-03 11:23

Huh? The probability of a government shutdown dropped from 38% to 26%. How is this data calculated? It sounds a bit mysterious. It seems like someone is about to start buying the dip. 200 billion USD disappeared in an instant, but now it might rebound? Let me check what on-chain wallets are saying. Who was buying the dip when ETF funds were flowing out? Based on my analysis, it was probably the big players accumulating chips at the bottom. Wait, is this another signal before a new wave of retail investors getting shaken out? I need to look again. Just this, a single budget proposal from the Americans has turned market sentiment around. Honestly, it still depends on policy factors, right? The rebound window has opened, but why do I feel like there are more traps than opportunities?

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