#Strategy加码BTC配置 I just discovered an economic signal worth pondering—some analyses suggest that the Federal Reserve's policy environment may loosen, coupled with employment data pressures, making it likely that there will be three interest rate cuts in the first half of 2026. It sounds like a distant event, but for crypto traders, this signal is highly significant.

What does a rate cut mean? Simply put, it means increased liquidity and cheaper money. Historically, whenever the Federal Reserve opens a rate cut cycle, hot money starts looking for exits. The stock market may react somewhat, but cryptocurrencies, as alternative assets, always get a share. The last rate cut cycle saw Bitcoin and mainstream coins perform notably.

The key point is that the market doesn't wait for rate cuts to actually happen before reacting. Smart money begins positioning two or three months in advance. So even though it's about 2026, some are already doing homework for that time window.

What should we do? Don't rush or go into hibernation—remember a few key points:

**First, defend your main positions.** Assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, which have stood the test of time, should be held steady now. When the rate cut cycle truly begins, they will be your safe harbors. Don't focus too much on short-term ups and downs; look at the bigger picture.

**Second, keep some active funds.** Avoid full allocation; leave yourself flexibility. The market will inevitably experience pullbacks due to short-term data fluctuations—this is precisely the window for phased entry into quality assets. Use your bullets when the time comes.

**Finally, beware of chasing the hype.** Small altcoins can surge under expected stimuli, but hot spots rotate quickly. Before the rate cut policy is officially implemented, market fluctuations are normal. It's more reliable to focus on mainstream assets with solid fundamentals.

Ultimately, those who survive until the rate cut benefits are truly the winners. The key is maintaining healthy positions, a steady mindset, and staying engaged. There's no need to bet on the exact day the wind will come—first, check your ship to ensure it can weather any storm.

Markets have cycles, and patience is a test of character. While waiting for the wind, keep an eye on market signals and find the right moment to step in.