2025-12-29 06:11:45

The market has been silent for two months, and everyone is waiting for a turning point. This wave of market activity before and after the Spring Festival should be that turning point.

From the perspective of Wall Street, the general consensus among institutions about the Federal Reserve is as follows: the likelihood of maintaining the current stance in January is the highest, so don't expect rate cuts for now; in February, the FOMC meeting will be in a lull with no significant moves; by March, there will be a real chance for rate cuts.

Therefore, the key window periods are around the Spring Festival and in March. If additional funds enter the market during these times, it will be hard for the market not to rally. Sit tight, hold on, and get ready for a big move.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

21 Likes

Reward
21
7
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

LiquidityWitch

· 01-01 05:51

This Spring Festival wave is really the last lifeline; I can't hold on anymore, everyone.

View OriginalReply0

AirdropBuffet

· 2025-12-30 14:21

The Spring Festival market is really here. After two months of holding back, the moment has finally arrived. Can't sit still anymore. Institutions are all watching March, we need to get ahead of the game. The expectation of interest rate cuts is here. We're optimistic about March's rhythm, and additional funds are coming. If we don't seize this wave, what are we waiting for? The window of opportunity is this short. Get ready, everyone. After the Spring Festival, it's time to watch the show.

View OriginalReply0

FloorSweeper

· 2025-12-29 06:41

nah, this "spring festival catalyst" narrative is just cope for the bag holders. everyone's been saying the same thing for two months lol... watch march come and go with nothing. fed's not cutting until they see real capitulation signals, and we're nowhere near that yet.

Reply0

rugpull_ptsd

· 2025-12-29 06:28

Yeah, it's really frustrating not to have any movement in two months. If things don't pick up during this Spring Festival wave, I'll just go and buy spot assets. Anyway, I'm just wasting time anyway. The institutions' logic also seems to make sense. If there's really a rate cut in March, that would be a good idea. The key is whether there is incremental capital willing to enter the market; otherwise, even the best news is useless. Waiting for March, let's see then. Anyway, these two window periods can't be missed.

View OriginalReply0

DogeBachelor

· 2025-12-29 06:23

Whether this Spring Festival wave can turn things around depends on this moment. After holding back for two months, it's time to release.

View OriginalReply0

WhaleInTraining

· 2025-12-29 06:22

The period around the Spring Festival is really a critical time, and it feels like this wave might actually have a chance.

View OriginalReply0

ReverseFOMOguy

· 2025-12-29 06:18

Nothing to do during the downtime, might as well check the stop-loss orders on the contract...