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The US economy's running into some real headwinds right now. Big money has been pouring into AI infrastructure for years, and now people are starting to ask the tough questions—are we getting actual returns, or just a lot of expensive computing power sitting idle?
Here's where it gets interesting though. If interest rates start coming down in 2026 like some expect, that could flip the script pretty dramatically. Lower rates have historically been tailwinds for corporate earnings, especially for companies that carry debt. Plus, when the Fed loosens monetary policy, investors typically rotate toward alternative assets like gold, which becomes more attractive when yield opportunities shrink.
This kind of macro backdrop matters way more than people realize. The timing, the direction of rate policy, how fast assets reprice—it all feeds into broader market sentiment and could reshape where capital flows next.
Interest rate cuts won't happen until 2026? We won't make it that long.
When interest rates ease, debt-laden companies take off. Gold should have been bought long ago.
The ones who truly make money never look at the macro; they just watch the Fed's moves.
Who dares to tell the truth about the oversupply of computing power?
As soon as interest rate cut expectations emerge, everyone starts speculating on gold. How many years has this routine been played?
Basically, it's betting on a 26-year interest rate cut. When that happens, debt-ridden companies will take off, and gold will rise again.
However, interest rate policies are unpredictable and volatile. Who can really predict them accurately?