After years of messing around, today I’ve decided to open up and speak frankly, sharing the trading ideas I’ve developed through my own exploration. No hype, no blackening, all practical trading insights.

**On Technical Analysis**

Honestly, most newcomers to the scene start by looking at charts. Candlesticks, MA, RSI—these indicators are right in front of your eyes, and they seem very logical—patterns in historical prices can predict future rises and falls, what a beautiful logic. They are indeed useful in trending markets, helping you catch a wave. But where’s the problem? Lag. By the time clear signals like golden cross or death cross appear, half of the move is already gone.

My approach is to verify signals by looking at both the 4-hour and daily charts simultaneously. Focusing only on short-term cycles like 15-minute or 1-hour charts makes it too easy to be fooled by big players who draw lines well. Indicators are just references; don’t treat them as gospel.

**Fundamentals Are the Real Deal**

This involves something akin to value investing. You can’t just watch how the price jumps; you need to dig into the project’s fundamentals. Is the team reliable? Is there market demand for the problem they’re solving? Is their technical route innovative? How active is the community? These factors determine how far a coin can go.

In short, technical analysis is a tool for short-term trading, while fundamentals determine the long-term direction. Combining both creates a complete trading framework. Relying solely on technicals can lead to being shaken out; relying only on fundamentals might cause you to miss short-term opportunities.

**Some Common Strategies**

Trend following is the most straightforward—wait until the trend is established before jumping in. Although you might not buy at the absolute bottom, it’s safer. In sideways ranges, swing trading—buy low, sell high—requires a good sense of support and resistance levels. Also, holding long-term in projects with real application prospects, waiting for fundamentals to gradually materialize.

Some traders like arbitrage—exploiting small price differences between exchanges; others short the top coins during pullbacks to catch rebounds; some follow the flow of large funds. There are many methods, but there’s no absolute right answer—key is to find what suits your risk appetite and time commitment.

**On Risk**

No matter what strategy you use, stop-loss and position management are the lifelines. No system can predict the market 100% accurately, so you must have an exit plan. I usually keep single trades within 5% of my total capital, and no more than 20% of a single coin. It sounds conservative, but in the volatile crypto world, staying alive is the way to keep making money.

Indicators can deceive, fundamentals can change, only strict discipline and risk awareness are real safeguards. Many people lose money not because they pick the wrong coins, but because they bet too aggressively.