2025-12-25 18:23:09

It's that time of year again to review the past year. Looking back at those bold promises, it’s a bit of a punch to the gut.

Let's first look at predictions from some industry heavyweights for 2025:

Bitmine Chairman Tom Lee predicted ETH would hit $15,000 by the end of the year. And? It’s currently only $2,939—quite a gap. Strategy founder Michael Saylor was even more bullish, claiming BTC could reach $150,000 by year-end. Reality check—BTC is now at $87,728, still a long way from the target.

The macro investment world is the same. Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio publicly claimed AI stocks are in a huge bubble, yet Nvidia’s return from the beginning of the year to now exceeds 30%. Wall Street’s big bear Harry Dent was certain gold would crash, but gold has gained over 70% since the start of the year.

What do these cases tell us? In Web3 and macro investing, so-called consensus is often meant to be broken. Experts’ predictions are just for listening—taking them seriously means losing. Those who truly make money are never blindly following the crowd but are a minority that坚持independent judgment amid the noise. This year has once again taught us a valuable lesson.

ETH-1.04%

BTC-0.21%

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MEVHunter_9000

· 4h ago

Big shots' predictions get proven wrong again, as always, the key is to do the opposite to make money.

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MeltdownSurvivalist

· 4h ago

Haha, the big shots' crash site, this is the year-end blockbuster --- Tom Lee said 15k, but we're still eating shit, lol --- Independent judgment sounds good, but honestly, how many people can really do it? --- Just listening and taking it seriously means losing, this sentence hit me hard --- It's the same every year, and next year there will be new influencers bragging again --- The difference between HODL and following the trend can be seen in a year --- Gold rises 70%, where are those people's faces? --- So the biggest risk in the crypto circle is information asymmetry; whoever has the truth wins --- This article is a bit bold, but it really hits the point --- Ray Dalio's stumble this time, I can't quite understand it --- Few people can judge independently, even fewer can make money, really

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SorryRugPulled

· 4h ago

Haha, Tom Lee really flopped this time. Luckily, I didn't fully believe him. Here we go again. Everyone says just listen and don't take it seriously, but some still go all-in. The big shot's crash site, 150,000 BTC, hilarious. I almost thought I saw it wrong. Independent judgment is easy to say but hard to do. Who doesn't want to follow the trend and win big? These days, predictions are less reliable than flipping a coin. I bet five bucks there will still be people falling into traps next year. Consensus sometimes is just collective paying IQ tax.

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ChainPoet

· 4h ago

These guys have been proven wrong again and again, it's hilarious Anyone can boast, but it depends on what's in their pocket in the end Independent judgment is easy to say, but who can truly do it Listening to big shots' predictions is just for entertainment; taking them seriously makes you foolish The most common consensus often results in the biggest losses The biggest gain this year is learning to operate in reverse Tom Lee's prediction of 15,000 ETH was really bold; I wonder how he dares to say that Instead of listening to predictions, it's better to look at the K-line trends yourself So now, the more big influencers boast, the more cautious I become There's too much noise; you need to have some resolve

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pumpamentalist

· 4h ago

Haha, Tom Lee's prediction this time is truly outrageous. The $15,000 ETH dream is shattered. The predictions of the big players are always a contrarian indicator, remember that. Saylor's call for 150,000 is still too optimistic; we need to wait longer. This is why independent thinking is so valuable. Always follow the consensus and you'll be the bagholder, typical. Year after year, the big players crash and retail investors are still learning.

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