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During Christmas, the US stock market is closed, and the crypto market has been consolidating for nearly a month. In the short term, lacking new catalysts, the direction may need to wait a bit longer.
From several perspectives: market sentiment has entered a panic cycle, with many long positions trapped; the long-short ratio is unbalanced, and the volume needed for a rebound is terrifying. According to usual patterns, without sufficient trading volume support, the market will typically continue in its original downward direction.
Logically, the most likely move is to continue testing downward, wiping out most of the long liquidity, before a rebound can be initiated. The 90,000 level has been tested many times above but has not broken through, which indicates greater downward pressure.
In terms of trading strategy, I am currently mainly shorting Ethereum. Why? Because there are many trapped positions, and liquidity is ample during declines, making it easier to realize profits. Bitcoin is temporarily on hold; unless a clear bottom-fishing opportunity appears later, I am not in a hurry to participate in the rebound.