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BTC Trend Analysis: Pressure at the 90,000 Zone and the Most Likely Scenario
On the daily chart, Bitcoin is still in a sideways accumulation phase. As long as the price remains within this range, technically, both bullish and bearish scenarios are possible, and the market has not yet clearly chosen a direction.
However, by closely observing the buying strength, it can be seen that the momentum of the longs is weakening. In this context, the most likely scenario I assess is:
The price is pushed down to around 80,000 to force a large number of long positions to cut losses. After clearing liquidity, the market will sharply rebound to the 94,000 – 98,000 zone.
This is a very familiar pattern in the crypto market: shake out the lows first, then create a final rally. If this scenario occurs, the 94,000 – 98,000 zone will be an ideal area to take profits on most or all of the spot holdings.
Additionally, a worse scenario cannot be ruled out: the price may fail to hold above 90,000 and enter a deeper correction phase. However, in this case, since the short-term stop-loss orders have not been fully cleared, the decline is likely to be choppy, with continuous spikes and dips, rather than a smooth and decisive drop.
Regardless of which scenario the market follows, one point needs to be especially noted:
👉 Those holding full spot positions should plan to sell a significant portion when the price approaches the 98,000 zone, rather than blindly hoping for higher levels.
In such a sensitive phase, position management and profit protection are more important than trying to catch the final wave perfectly.