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BTC Bear Market Lowest Point Range
November 2012 first halving → Bear Market bottom: 2015 (about 775 days later)
July 2016 second halving → Bear Market bottom: 2018 (about 880 days later)
May 2020 third halving → Bear Market bottom: 2022 (about 923 days later)
The time interval from halving to the bottom of the Bear Market shows a gradually extending trend (775→880→923 days), which is related to the increase in market maturity and institutional participation.
Fourth Halving Calculation:
In April 2024, if historical trends continue, the bottom time interval may be around 950-1000 days.
From April 2024, approximately 950 days later will be December 2026, and approximately 1000 days later will be March 2027.
In summary, the bottom of this bear market is expected to be around December 2026 to March 2027.
History does not simply repeat itself, but it often remarkably resembles itself.