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If you don't pursue full automation, there is quite a lot of easy money to be made in the current prediction markets.
Today I picked up an order and monitored a new market that just opened. When it first came out, there wasn't much liquidity, so I directly split the chips and placed orders on both sides. At the same time, I placed an order at the lowest price to keep my order always at the first position in the buy side.
Then received 50 chips and sold a part of the NO at a high price.
This is the strategy of manually picking up trash. What I do most often is still the strategy of finding markets with liquidity imbalance and a unique final settlement result. At the same time, I place limit orders to buy multiple NOs with the lowest possible cost (because when buying multiple NOs, at most only one will settle as YES).
The risk of counter-speculation is controllable, but one must bear certain risks. However, in trading, who doesn't bear risks? There are many markets I don't know much about, relying purely on intuition... For example, how many times the U.S. will cut interest rates this year, how would I know how many times they will cut? But I know that if I buy 0 times, 1 time, and 2 times, the worst outcome is that only one market will settle as YES, while the others will settle as NO. The best outcome is that all three settle as NO.
As long as the needles you receive are deep enough, even if you try to counteract, it won't make much difference. If you earn, it's an annualized return of 30, 40, or 50.
Don't put all your eggs in one basket, and you don't need a 100% win rate.
Executing multiple strategies together, it's impossible not to make money.
The plot thickens. I have already handed over the burning formula. Is it too much to ask for my invitation code? Brothers.
Invitation code: zN3tPX