Looking at the market expectations for 2026 from a macro perspective.

Many analysts believe that even if the bear market continues into 2026, it is highly likely to bottom out within a specific price range. The key to this judgment is that the probability of the range between 70,000 and 80,000 is clearly higher than that of 60,000 to 70,000.

To be honest, many people may find this expectation overly optimistic. But I have always had this mindset: to remain optimistic while being cautious.

Why? Because historically, the bottom area often appears at the most pessimistic times in the market. The current consensus, on the other hand, gives us more certainty—the price bottoming range is gradually being anchored. Those expectations of a bottom in the 70s are more likely to be supported than the pessimistic forecasts in the 60s.

This is not blind optimism, but a rational understanding of market rules.