The probability of Bitcoin hitting $100,000 has fallen to 11%, and market sentiment has clearly turned bearish.

2025-12-21 07:22:23

【Coin World】Recently, looking at the data from the prediction market, the probability of Bitcoin breaking 100,000 USD by the end of the year has fallen to about 11%. What does this number indicate? It indicates that the market sentiment has changed. Previously, some were expecting to see a five-digit market by the end of the year, but now everyone's expectations have clearly lowered. Although the possibility cannot be completely ruled out, from the current market sentiment, there is indeed a tendency to look downwards. This is quite interesting; in a short period, the probability has sharply declined from a more optimistic expectation, reflecting that the recent market fluctuations have somewhat dampened the enthusiasm.

BTC-4.02%

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GateUser-74b10196

· 2025-12-22 19:28

11%? This probability is even lower than my chances of winning the lottery, it seems everyone is really scared.

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OnchainArchaeologist

· 2025-12-21 07:47

11%? Ha, this probability is even worse than me guessing the heads or tails of a coin, laughed --- Here we go with this trap again? The market hasn’t risen and you start telling stories, so typical --- Lowering expectations is fine, anyway I haven't sold my coins, just waiting is enough --- Market sentiment can change in an instant, don't take it too seriously --- This wave is indeed a bit uncomfortable, I have to admit --- What's the use of talking about probabilities now? No one can predict accurately anyway --- The dream of 100,000 dollars is shattered, but there’s still a chance, right? --- I just want to know, what are the 11% betting on?

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CommunitySlacker

· 2025-12-21 07:35

11%? Laughing, this is the moment when the market players' mentality breaks down.

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JustHereForMemes

· 2025-12-21 07:24

11%? Ha, this probability is even lower than the times I've guessed the rise and fall correctly. --- Another dumping? I knew it wouldn't be that smooth. --- The market's mentality changes so quickly, we really are too easy to be played for suckers. --- From high expectations to 11%, this contrast is a bit heart-wrenching. --- What happened to the promised 100,000? Why is there no confidence now? --- Breaking through 100,000 before the end of the year... it's just nice to hear, anyway, I've long stopped expecting it. --- This wave really hurts morale, it's hard to lead a team when people's hearts are scattered.

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