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#数字资产市场洞察 ZEC's 1-hour chart has recently picked up. Short-term bulls are quietly accumulating energy, which looks promising, but don't be blinded by it.
The MA30 and EMA30, the two short-term moving averages, show ZEC firmly supported at its current level. The short-term moving averages are trying to form a bullish setup, with MACD giving an entry signal at the bottom, and RSI jumping into the bullish strength zone. The previous downtrend seems to have been broken, and the bulls have temporarily regained control. In the short term, the probability of an upward breakout is quite high.
The key point is, the price has risen, but the trading volume is quite weak. This is a problem. It's a typical case of rising prices with shrinking volume—like shouting slogans for a surge, but only a few actually follow through. This rebound might just be retail traders following the trend or short sellers temporarily retreating, with no serious institutional funds entering. If the volume doesn't pick up, this rebound is likely a false move and will eventually pull back.
How to operate, you need to be clear:
**For those holding positions**: Set stop-loss below 389.3. As long as it doesn't break this level, hold on. Keep an eye on whether it can test the resistance at 404.
**For those looking to bottom fish**: Don't chase at this price level. Wait until it falls back to the safe zone of 391.5-392.5 to stabilize before acting, or wait for a volume breakout above the previous high of 397.3. Stop-loss should be tight.
**For shorting**: Now is not the time. Only wait until the price approaches around 404; if it clearly can't break through, then try a small short position. Stop-loss must be clear.
Core point: Watch the trading volume closely. Any rise without volume is a fake move. The 389.3 level must hold, as it's key to judging whether this breakout is genuine. Before volume returns, treat this as a rebound—first watch 397, then 404. Don't be too greedy.
The market is a bit sluggish right now, but opportunities to make money will come. Be patient, and the opportunities will reveal themselves.