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The Bank of Japan is about to hold its year-end policy meeting, and recently, some different voices have emerged. Sanae Takaichi, an economic advisor close to the government and former deputy governor of the central bank, publicly stated that the BOJ should not rush to raise interest rates and that policy tightening should not be too aggressive. This clearly serves as an early "signal" to the BOJ, once again exposing the underlying discord between the government and the central bank.
Recently, Sanae Takaichi has been advocating her economic stance: now is the time to increase spending, stimulate the market through fiscal measures, boost corporate profits, raise employee wages, and naturally increase tax revenues. In simple terms, it's a "spend first, earn later" approach—seemingly a preemptive move, but she believes it's a way to stabilize growth.
On the other hand, the central bank's focus is likely on raising interest rates and controlling inflation. They want to continue to release liquidity while gradually tightening policies, and these two perspectives are clearly at odds.
Moreover, such large-scale fiscal expenditure has also made market participants somewhat uneasy. The Oxford Economics Research Institute recently questioned whether relying solely on government spending can achieve the desired effects, given Japan's lack of endogenous growth drivers. Excessive government debt pressure, already high, could be worsened by this approach.
Therefore, the significance of this BOJ meeting goes beyond a simple interest rate decision. It actually addresses a bigger question—will Japan continue to stimulate the economy or move towards steady tightening? The stage is set, and the drama is full.