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#美国就业数据表现强劲超出预期 Review of the recent key points: On November 21st, we caught the bottom; by December 3rd, we identified that the first wave of upward movement was not over, and another high was expected. After validation on December 9th, a timely alert indicated that a correction should begin, and BTC subsequently fell sharply. Details of the precise operations are not elaborated here; new friends can review the historical records themselves.
How will the market develop next? There are two scenarios:
**Blue Scenario**: The first wave of decline starting from 94,500 has ended. If tonight’s retracement does not break below 85,100 in terms of the candle body, a rebound will be triggered, expected to extend until the weekend or early next week. After the rebound, a second wave of decline will follow, completing the entire correction since 94,500 before December 26th, then a sharp rally to 97,000+. Under this rhythm, Gann time cycles point to the week of December 15th as the end of the first wave of decline (December 16th’s 85,147).
**Red Scenario**: The decline from 94,500 proceeds directly and swiftly, without hesitation. Once the bottom is found on December 19th, a direct surge to 97,000+ begins. In this case, the correction’s end point also points to the week of December 15th.
Honestly, given BTC’s temperament, it’s unlikely to go so smoothly. So I lean towards the blue scenario as more probable. If tonight’s correction does happen, as long as it doesn’t break below 85,100 in the candle body, it’s a decent long opportunity—aiming to profit from the rebound after the decline from 94,600 to 85,100.
Disclaimer: The above is only a personal trading idea sharing and does not constitute any investment advice. Risk is borne by oneself.
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Is 85100 really the bottom if it doesn't break? The rebound is coming.
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Another "point and hit," let's see if it can continue to be accurate this time.
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Gann cycle + candlestick patterns, there is indeed something to it, but 97000+ is still a bit uncertain.
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The red scheme is too idealistic; BTC's temperament makes it impossible to do everything in one go.
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Going long around 85100 is indeed a viable idea; just wait and see if it hits the mark tonight.
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I looked through the historical records, and indeed the previous key points were quite accurate.
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Will the week of December 15th really be the end? Let's see then.
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Pulling back to the weekend for the rebound—if this rhythm works out, it will be amazing.