The future trend of Bitcoin, I want to discuss two possible scenarios with everyone.

**Scenario 1: Bull Market Still on Track**

Referring to the previous bull market experience, when the price reaches the $80,000 threshold, it usually takes about two months to repair the trend. If this time Bitcoin again touches the $80,000 level and fails to break below it effectively, or if it dips briefly but quickly recovers and continues to repair, then after about a month of adjustment, a new upward trend may be initiated. Based on this pattern, the bull market structure remains intact.

**Scenario 2: Risk Release Phase**

Conversely, if the $80,000 support level is completely broken and cannot hold, the market may enter a bear market trajectory. History will repeat: once it falls below $80,000 and cannot stabilize, downward pressure will be significant, with declines possibly reaching tens of thousands of points, down to around $50,000. This means there could be nearly a 30,000-point drop from the current position.

**Trading Key Points**

There is a clear directional indicator right now: below $96,000, the overall approach should lean towards shorting. But there is a critical turning point—if Bitcoin breaks through $96,000 and continues upward, the shorting logic needs to be immediately adjusted, as the bulls will regain confidence at this level.

When the price approaches or breaks through the $100,000 threshold, market sentiment will undergo a qualitative change. Bullish enthusiasm will be fully stimulated, and FOMO will spread, likely triggering a rapid rally led by the bulls.

Regardless of the final direction, we must always be prepared for market shifts.