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#大户持仓变化 Follow the trend for a short position and abandon the idea of betting on reversals.
NIGHT's short position has been laid out long ago. This is not subjective guesswork; the market structure speaks for itself.
Look at how the candlesticks are moving: multiple dips from high levels with increased volume but unable to sustain upward momentum; each attempt to push higher is weaker than the last; after key support is broken, the rebound lacks volume support, and selling pressure continues unabated; technically, the market has shifted from a bullish to a bearish dominance, and any short-term rebound is just an entry opportunity for shorts.
The trading logic is actually very simple:
Enter at resistance during a rebound;
Don't predict or stubbornly hold; follow the technical structure completely;
Take profits in stages once the predetermined target is reached.
In such a market, there's no need to guess where the bottom is, nor to expect a V-shaped reversal. The market gives signals on its own; our job is to execute precisely.
Trading is never about who is right once or twice, but about taking disciplined profits when real opportunities arise and exiting safely.
$PTB $FHE $PIPPIN
Those who chase long positions after the fact are always the most numerous.
That's right, just follow the structure and don't guess the bottom blindly.
This logic has no flaws, I'm just worried about soft-hearted execution.
If the volume hasn't followed up, it's time to run. Simplicity and brutality are the most effective.
There are too many people dreaming of V-shaped reversals; it's time to wake up.
If there's a rebound, cut it. If the volume doesn't follow up, you already know what's going on.
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I agree with the tactic of shorting on a rebound, just worried that the rebound turns into a reversal haha
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It's easy to say but hard to execute, the mindset is the biggest test
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The bearish pattern has formed, now it's just a matter of whether we can capture the expected profit wave
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I agree with not betting on a reversal; following the trend is indeed more stable
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The key is to stick to discipline; this step of gradually exiting cannot be skipped