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Looking for a once-in-a-lifetime bottoming opportunity? Keep an eye on US Treasuries.
The key signal is simple: whenever US Treasuries break through the 105.25 level, a historic bottom will appear. The greater the breakout, the bigger the opportunity. Moreover, the bottoming opportunities in cryptocurrencies and US stocks are basically synchronized, and this is no coincidence.
The underlying logic is as follows—there is a price gap between US Treasury futures and spot prices. To eliminate this gap, the Federal Reserve must print the corresponding cash to buy US Treasuries in the spot market. The larger the gap, the more money needs to be printed; the more money printed, the more funds are available in the market to bottom fish. That’s why high levels in US Treasuries are often accompanied by investment opportunities.
From the chart, US Treasuries are not yet at a sufficiently high level, indicating that US stocks still have significant room to decline. It’s not the time to go all-in now, but you can start considering phased positioning. The key is to reserve some ammunition, waiting for those bottoming formations like 2008, 2020, or 312 to appear—that’s the real opportunity to jump in.