#美联储降息 People often complain that the current market isn't as smooth as before. There are a bunch of false breakouts, so how can we trade?

Actually, you're overthinking it. History has never been a straight line.

Going back a hundred years, what was it like for traders in the Livermore era? Placing an order meant calling the broker, who would slowly walk to the counter to open a position. Is that smooth? All the back-and-forth was just oscillation. Flip through his manuscripts and you'll understand—those days were just as frustrating as now.

Where's the key point? Trend trading, especially breakout strategies, is fundamentally a battle against human nature. As long as real people are behind the market, no matter what tools you use—robots or quantitative programs—the expected market moves will still come. That's unchangeable.

Another phenomenon worth noting: once an asset matures, its unit time volatility range inevitably narrows, no debate there. But people need sleep, 24 hours a day. So, on daily charts, most assets have the most comfortable trend cycle. If the crypto market moves faster, a 4-hour cycle can work too.

Want to trade comfortably? There are ways—add one or two new assets to each cycle, using new coins to fill in the gaps of insufficient volatility.

$BTC, $XRP, $SOL —these mainstream assets each have different characteristics. Choosing the right cycle and asset combination, trend trading still follows that same logic.