#美联储联邦公开市场委员会决议 From loss to profit, the trading framework is the key

Many people ask me how I survived in the crypto world. To be honest, there’s no secret, just no greed and discipline. Let me give a real example—turning 20,000 yuan into four digits in three years, all thanks to risk control and trend-following.

**Money Management is the First Lesson**

Divide the principal into 5 parts, only invest one part each time. Assume a single stop-loss of 10 points, losing once only costs 2% of the total funds. It takes 5 consecutive losses to lose 10%. This way, even if you keep losing, you won’t be wiped out. Conversely, once the direction is correct, set a take-profit of over 10 points, and the account will naturally grow.

**Trend Following is the Foundation of Survival**

Every rebound during a downtrend tempts to buy, and every plunge during an uptrend is a trap. Recognizing the trend and reducing opposition is the consensus among those who survive the longest.

**Avoid the Trap of Individual Coins**

Be cautious of short-term surging coins, whether mainstream or altcoins. The simple reason—after a rapid rise, the probability of further increase is low, and after stagnating at high levels, a natural pullback occurs.

**Technical Reference**

MACD entry and exit points: When DIF and DEA form a golden cross below the zero line and break above zero, it’s a relatively stable entry signal. When MACD forms a death cross above zero, consider reducing positions. Watch for volume expansion breaking through lows, and if volume increases at high levels with stagnation, exit decisively.

**Averaging Down is a Trap**

Adding to losing positions is suicidal. The correct approach is to reduce holdings when losing, and add when profitable. Those who do the opposite will be painfully taught by the market.

**Moving Averages Help Determine Trends**

A rising 5-day moving average indicates short-term upward momentum; an upward-turning 30-day moving average suggests medium-term wave; an upward 60-day or 84-day moving average indicates the start of a main upward wave; only when the 120-day moving average rises is there a true long-term rally. The higher the level, the more stable it is. This is a quick way to judge the cycle.

**Review and Improve Trading Logic**

Review every trade. Has the holding logic changed? Does the weekly K-line still meet expectations? Has the trend reversed? Adjust your strategy in time. This way, trading won’t turn into gambling.