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Breaking News: On December 13, it was reported that although the Federal Reserve cut interest rates as scheduled this week and released dovish signals beyond expectations, the real-world challenges faced by the artificial intelligence sector have led to a complex divergence in the US stock and bond markets. The upcoming reports from the U.S. Department of Labor on non-farm payrolls, consumer inflation, and retail sales, scheduled for next week, may offer deeper insights into the economic health. Here are the key focus points for the new week:
- Monday 21:30: US December New York Fed Manufacturing Index
- Monday 22:30: Speech by Federal Reserve Board Member Mester
- Monday 23:30: FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams discusses economic outlook
- Tuesday 21:30: US November Unemployment Rate, US November Non-Farm Payrolls (Seasonally Adjusted), US October Retail Sales MoM
- Wednesday 22:05: Speech by FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams at the 2025 Foreign Exchange Market Structure Conference hosted by the New York Fed
- Thursday 01:30: Speech by 2027 FOMC Voting Member and Atlanta Fed President Bostic on economic outlook
- Thursday 21:30: US November Unadjusted CPI Year-over-Year / Core CPI Year-over-Year, US November Seasonally Adjusted CPI MoM / Core CPI MoM; US initial unemployment claims for the week ending December 13; US December Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
Next week's US CPI data release will be a key turning point for the dollar's movement. If the CPI data falls below expectations (the latest figure is 3%, still above the Fed's 2% target), it will further confirm the reasonableness of the Fed's rate cut cycle, and the dollar may face further downward pressure; otherwise, the trend may reverse. #广场发帖领$50