#美联储货币政策走向 Once this news broke out, it reminded me of the sensational resignation rumors in 2018. At that time, the market reacted strongly, with US stocks plummeting and the dollar falling sharply. However, this time the market remains calm, with the probability given by the predictive market at only 3%. It seems everyone has learned their lesson and is not easily swayed by rumors. But upon further reflection, the current economic situation is complex, with high inflation and Powell under immense pressure. It's really hard to say whether he can stick to his term until the end. Interestingly, Trump’s statement is quite intriguing—does he really plan to lay out his strategy for the 2024 presidential election early? History always seems to repeat itself, so we should just watch and see what happens. The key is Powell’s speech on Tuesday, which may provide some clues. In any case, the direction of the Federal Reserve’s policies has far-reaching impacts on the global stage, and it’s worth keeping a close eye on.